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We say goodbye to France for a while and we'll continue in Spain. A hilly stage with also an uphill finish where the Spanish riders want to show something. Some of them will surely go on the long attack but the chance that escapees again will succeed are small I think. The arrival today looks to be too tough for Cavendish, so there is a big chance for other teams to take a stage win.
Rabobank already had a lot of bad luck and this stage looks like a good moment to turn things around. Freire then must be faster as power sprinters like Hushovd and Ciolek. On a finish like this it’s also the question what Belgian champion Tom Boonen is capable of. Temporarily he didn’t have luck but the form looks to be good. Besides Boonen also Bennati hasn’t had some luck the last few days. Normally surely good on an arrival like this, but his ribs are still causing him some discomfort.
At Columbia they can count on Kirchen if it’s too heavy for Cavendish. The last kilometers are also favorable for an ultimate jump. Therefore watch out for riders like Italian champion Filippo Pozzato and, why not, yellow jersey Cancellara?
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